Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

Name: Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
End: 2026-02-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$235.22

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $235.22

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $235.22

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?	Poly	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$235.22

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any single daily BTC/USDT candle between January 13 and December 31, 2026 has a range equal to or greater than 15%. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT The “Range” value shown for the daily candle will be used. Daily candles are defined based on the ET (Eastern Time) timezone. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Other exchanges or trading pairs will no

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if any single daily BTC/USDT candle between January 13 and December 31, 2026 has a range equal to or greater than 15%. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The “Range” value shown for the daily candle will be used. Daily candles are defined based on the ET (Eastern Time) timezone.

Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Other exchanges or trading pairs will no

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any single daily BTC/USDT candle between January 13 and December 31, 2026 has a range equal to or greater than 15%. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The “Ran"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $235
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 17h remaining

Feb 01, 2026 5:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

38¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

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Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)