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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$23.91K
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This prediction market addresses whether Kanye West, the American rapper, producer, and fashion designer, will post content on his X (formerly Twitter) account, @kanyewest, before the end of February 28, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if any post, repost, or reply is published on that verified account between the market's creation and the deadline. The resolution source is the official X profile page. Kanye West's social media activity has been a subject of intense public and media scrutiny for over a decade. His posts have frequently driven news cycles, influenced markets, and sparked widespread controversy. His relationship with the platform has been volatile, marked by periods of prolific posting followed by extended silence, often coinciding with personal, professional, or legal developments. The interest in this specific question stems from West's current extended hiatus from the platform, which began in December 2023 following a series of antisemitic remarks that led to severe professional consequences. Observers monitor his potential return as a signal of his re-engagement with public discourse, his standing with corporate partners, and the evolution of his career and public persona. The 2026 deadline provides a long timeline, reflecting uncertainty about the permanence of his departure.
Kanye West's relationship with Twitter began in June 2010. His early use was characterized by candid thoughts on music and culture. A significant shift occurred around 2015-2016, when his posts became more frequent and politically charged, including public support for Donald Trump and controversial statements on slavery. This period established his account as a major driver of media narratives. In 2020, during his presidential campaign, he used the platform extensively for campaign announcements and unfiltered commentary. The most consequential chapter began in October 2022, when West made a series of antisemitic posts. This led Twitter to temporarily restrict his account. Elon Musk, after acquiring the company, reinstated the account in November 2022. However, West's posting continued to generate controversy, culminating in a post in December 2023 that again violated platform policies. He has not posted since. This hiatus, now exceeding a year, is his longest period of inactivity since joining the platform, surpassing previous breaks taken during hospitalizations or intense album recording sessions.
The question of Kanye West's return to X matters as a cultural and commercial indicator. Social media has been a primary tool for him to control his narrative, promote projects, and engage directly with consumers. His absence disrupts this direct channel, potentially affecting the launch and reception of new music or fashion ventures. For the platform itself, the activity of a figure with West's reach is a metric of engagement and a test case for its content moderation policies under Elon Musk. On a broader level, his potential return is watched by organizations that monitor hate speech and antisemitism online. His previous posts triggered tangible economic consequences, including severed business partnerships and lost revenue. A future post could signal his rehabilitation in certain circles or ignite new controversies, impacting his remaining business interests and collaborations. The market essentially bets on the stability of a self-imposed exile from a platform that was once central to his public identity.
As of early 2025, Kanye West's X account remains dormant with no original posts, reposts, or replies since December 2023. He has been seen in public periodically, often with Bianca Censori, but has not granted interviews or used traditional media to make statements. There have been no official announcements from his team or Yeezy regarding a social media strategy. Elon Musk has not commented publicly on West's account status recently. The primary development sustaining interest is the ongoing sale of existing Yeezy inventory by Adidas, which proves the commercial endurance of the brand West built, even as its founder remains silent online.
Kanye West's account was temporarily locked by Twitter in October 2022 for violating the platform's policies on hate speech, specifically for antisemitic posts. He was reinstated by new owner Elon Musk in November 2022 but has not posted since December 2023 after making another controversial post.
In October 2022, West posted antisemitic comments, including a threat to go 'death con 3 on JEWISH PEOPLE.' These remarks led to his temporary suspension from Twitter and were the primary reason companies like Adidas and Balenciaga ended their partnerships with him.
There is no verified evidence that Kanye West is actively using any major public social media platform as of early 2025. His accounts on Instagram and Twitter/X are inactive, and he does not have a known public presence on newer platforms.
Kanye West has not posted on his X (Twitter) account since December 2, 2023. This period of inactivity is the longest in his 14-year history on the platform.
Yes. As the owner of X Corp., Elon Musk has the authority to suspend or permanently ban any account for violating the platform's rules. He reinstated West's account once before, but could also restrict it again based on future content.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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