Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Name: Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$48.67K

Events

Markets

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Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Vol

$48.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $48.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $48.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	Poly	53%
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026?	Poly	37%
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by October 31, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$48.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with e"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $44.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $159.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $190
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $487
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $679
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics