Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

California gas prices tomorrow

Total Volume

$19.56K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

California gas prices tomorrow

Vol

$19.56K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $19.56K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.56K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2900?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.2750?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3050?	Kalshi	83%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3000?	Kalshi	79%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3100?	Kalshi	30%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3150?	Kalshi	6%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3250?	Kalshi	4%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3450?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3400?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3350?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3300?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $6.3200?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$19.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** California gas prices tomorrow
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.3450 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3450?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3350?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3250?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3150?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3100?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3050?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2950?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2900?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2750?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2700?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2650?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

California gas prices tomorrow

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$19.56K

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2850 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2800 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2700 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2650 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2950 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Average Yes Price

53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6AZ4MS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="California gas prices tomorrow"></iframe>

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California gas prices tomorrow

California gas prices tomorrow

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Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

California gas prices tomorrow

Markets (17)

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2700?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2700?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2650?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2650?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2950?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

California gas prices tomorrow

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2850?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2700?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2700?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2650?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2650?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $6.2950?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2850?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2700?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2650?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?

Will average gas prices be above $6.2950?