Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

Name: Core CPI MoM - September 2026
End: 2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$45.52K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

Vol

$45.52K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $45.52K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.52K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Poly	51%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Poly	35%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	Poly	13%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?	Poly	5%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?	Poly	1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in September?	Poly	1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$45.52K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Core CPI MoM - September 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).

The resolution

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Co"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $45.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.59)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $15.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $13.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy