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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-05-07T06:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$39.65K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$39.65K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $39.65K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $39.65K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	75%
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	25%
Will Jay Coward win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Kayode Damali win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Josh Matthews win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Roger Mighton win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Peter Newman win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Sylbourne Sydial win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$39.65K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible repor

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 7, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible repor

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be consider"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $37.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jay Coward win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kayode Damali win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Josh Matthews win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Roger Mighton win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Peter Newman win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $11.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sylbourne Sydial win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 7, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics