Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Total Volume

$154.52

Events

Markets

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Vol

$154.52

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $154.52

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $154.52

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Over 17.5 games

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 17.5 games	Kalshi	89%
Over 22.5 games	Kalshi	48%
Over 27.5 games	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$154.52

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (Oct 12) If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (Oct 12)

If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of completed games in the full match is above 27.5 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $155
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 27.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 22.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $155
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 17.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Volume$154.52

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Over 17.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHISports

Over 17.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 17.5 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger

KALSHI

Over 22.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Over 22.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 22.5 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger

KALSHI

Over 27.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢

KALSHISports

Over 27.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 27.5 in the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger

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Average Yes Price

55¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6McDZc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games"></iframe>

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

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Over 17.5 games

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Markets (3)

Over 17.5 games

Over 17.5 games

Over 22.5 games

Over 22.5 games

Over 27.5 games

Over 27.5 games

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Over 17.5 games

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Games

Over 17.5 games

Over 17.5 games

Over 22.5 games

Over 22.5 games

Over 27.5 games

Over 27.5 games

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