Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Name: Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
End: 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$426.73

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Vol

$426.73

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $426.73

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $426.73

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	78%
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	56%
Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer	Poly	51%
Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer	Poly	50%
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Set Handicap: Valentin Royer (-1.5) vs Mathys Erhard (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	48%
Game Spread: Valentin Royer (-4.5) vs Mathys Erhard (+4.5)	Poly	45%
Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	40%
Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	38%
Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer	Poly	32%
Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	28%
Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$426.73

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Mathys Erhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Valentin Royer.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Mathys Erhard.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Valentin Royer.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valent"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $427
* **Total Liquidity:** $73.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Mathys Erhard: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Royer: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mathys Erhard: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Royer: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mathys Erhard: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Valentin Royer: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Erhard vs. Royer: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Erhard vs. Royer: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Valentin Royer (-1.5) vs Mathys Erhard (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Valentin Royer: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Mathys Erhard: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Valentin Royer (-4.5) vs Mathys Erhard (+4.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Valentin Royer: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Mathys Erhard: 55.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Volume$426.73

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played

POLYMARKET

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mathys Erhard” if Mathys Erhard wins the first set. It will resolve to “Valentin Royer” if Valentin Royer wins the first

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mathys Erhard” if Mathys Erhard wins set 2. It will resolve to “Valentin Royer” if Valentin Royer wins set 2. If the matc

POLYMARKET

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherw

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Oct 20, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

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46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6TPHUp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer"></iframe>

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Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

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Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Markets (16)

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Erhard vs. Royer: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Completed Match: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 1 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Set 2 Winner: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Mathys Erhard vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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