Name: LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
End: 2026-04-18T21:00:00.000Z

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LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | PredictPedia

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36 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	69%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	69%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	69%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Poly	55%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Poly	54%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Poly	54%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	48%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Poly	29%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	24%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GIANTX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 11:00AM ET:

This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $475
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [GIANTX: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [GIANTX: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $463
  DATA: [GIANTX: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [GIANTX: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [GIANTX: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [GIANTX: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

1d 17h remaining

Apr 18, 2026 9:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

44¢

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LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Markets (36)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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