Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Reported volume

PM $127.8K

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Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Vol

PM $127.8K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Helen Zille at 54.5%.

Polymarket

Helen Zille54.5%
David Makhura24.8%
Frank Chikane7.2%
Lukhona Mnguni5.7%
Kenny Kunene4.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	54.5%
Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	24.8%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	7.2%
Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	5.7%
Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	4.6%
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	4.0%
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	3.7%
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Poly	1.2%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $127.8K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $127.8K
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486554; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-helen-zille-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220255151
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $52.8K
Outcome Yes: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486555; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-loyiso-masuku-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220255152
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $20.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486556; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-herman-mashaba-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220255153
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $15.8K
Outcome Yes: 3.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486557; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-kenny-kunene-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220255154
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486558; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-frank-chikane-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $29.2K
Outcome Yes: 7.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486559; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-david-makhura-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.9K
Outcome Yes: 24.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486560; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lukhona-mnguni-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260724161314938
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $832.43
Outcome Yes: 5.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2486561; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dada-morero-be-the-next-mayor-of-johannesburg
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
 
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics