Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?

Reported volume

PM $48.9K

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Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?

Vol

PM $48.9K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Bongani Mathae at 61.3%.

Polymarket

Bongani Mathae61.3%
Vusimuzi Soqaga41.1%
Werner Pretorius20.5%
Lulaman Oditi-Titi8.1%
Gregory Nthatisi8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	61.3%
Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	41.1%
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	20.5%
Will Lulaman Oditi-Titi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	8.1%
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	8.0%
Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	7.8%
Will Motshewa Tladi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	4.7%
Will Thabo Manyoni be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	4.2%
Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	3.9%
Will Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Poly	1.8%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $48.9K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $48.9K
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698194; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gregory-nthatisi-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $34.0K
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698195; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-werner-pretorius-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $10.6K
Outcome Yes: 20.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698196; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sam-matiase-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $734.7
Outcome Yes: 7.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Thabo Manyoni be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698197; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-thabo-manyoni-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $219.97
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698198; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bongani-mathae-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $310.6
Outcome Yes: 61.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698199; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-theodorah-mosala-leeuw-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $59.28
Outcome Yes: 1.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lulaman Oditi-Titi be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698200; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lulaman-oditi-titi-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $173.19
Outcome Yes: 8.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698201; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sekhopi-malebo-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.6K
Outcome Yes: 3.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698202; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vusimuzi-soqaga-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $179.99
Outcome Yes: 41.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Motshewa Tladi be the next mayor of Mangaung?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3698203; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-motshewa-tladi-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $84.28
Outcome Yes: 4.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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