Name: Precipitation in Seoul in March?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Precipitation in Seoul in March? | PredictPedia

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8 markets tracked

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	100%
Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%
Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in March?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Precipitation in Seoul in March?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground",

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher ran"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $49.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $49.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $34.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in March?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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13¢

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Precipitation in Seoul in March?

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Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

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Events (1)

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Markets (8)

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?

Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in March?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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