Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Total Volume

$31.21

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Markets

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Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Vol

$31.21

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $31.21

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.21

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$31.21

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Week of Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026 If there is at least X or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved X day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KDFW from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Week of Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026

If there is at least X or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved X day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KDFW from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
A day's average t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Volume$31.21

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average t

KALSHI

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 5 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average t

KALSHI

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average t

KALSHI

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 3 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average t

KALSHI

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average t

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Average Yes Price

1¢

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Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

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Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Markets (5)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

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Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

Dallas/Fort Worth · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

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