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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Name: Eurovision 2026: Top 5
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$196.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Vol

$196.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $196.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $196.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	79%
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	71%
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	58%
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	57%
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	55%
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	29%
Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	27%
Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	27%
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	27%
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	25%
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	24%
Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	20%
Will San Marino be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	15%
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Montenegro be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	11%
Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$196.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Eurovision 2026: Top 5
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $196.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $272.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.72)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $378
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $34.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 27.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will San Marino be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 18.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $439
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $413
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $382
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $973
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $13.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $22.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 15.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $876
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Montenegro be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $127
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $683
  DATA: [Yes: 12.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.8% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $40.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $363
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $810
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture