Atlanta vs Golden State: Spread
K 814.15 contracts
1
9
Atlanta vs Golden State: Spread
K 814.15 contracts
1
9
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 814.15 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
9
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs GS (Oct 19) If Golden State wins by more than X points in the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event covers the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 [1]. Under the rules excerpt, a market resolves to Yes if Golden State wins by more than X points, where the threshold is set by each market's title [1]. The saved titles specify thresholds such as "Golden State wins the game by over 1.5 points" and "Atlanta wins the game by over 9.5 points" [1].
Postponement terms matter. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1]. The excerpt also states that the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
Timing needs care. The provider status is active, and the listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. Each saved market carries an endDate of 2026-10-19T19:30:00.000Z [1]. That is a provider field, not a confirmed close or resolution time, which depends on the postponement and winner-declaration terms above.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:59:55Z [1]. They describe that saved moment only and do not reflect current conditions. They are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
All nine saved markets for this event are included, and no partial sample is flagged [1]. Within that set, the highest Yes price is 0.555, for Golden State winning by over 1.5 points, and the lowest is 0.165, for Atlanta winning by over 9.5 points [1]. The provider's sample warning says it does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1], so these figures should not be read as a complete field.
Markets with different thresholds are separate contracts. Golden State by over 1.5 (Yes at 0.555) and Atlanta by over 1.5 (Yes at 0.405) are not two halves of one price, and a difference between contracts is not an arbitrage opportunity. Volume is not supplied in this sample, so it says nothing about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence covers one platform only, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The rules excerpt uses "X" as a placeholder, and only the market titles supply the thresholds. The evidence gives no explanation for any price level and no news, trader count, or recent update. The listed end time is not supplied, so the endDate field should be checked against the rules at resolution. Whether the game will be played as scheduled is not established by the evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Golden State: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi spread contract on a women's Pro Basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. The listing is titled "Atlanta vs Golden State: Spread" and describes the game as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The core rule is that the contract resolves to Yes if Golden State wins by more than a set number of points, with the threshold X varying by market [1]. Spread contracts of this kind are split into several thresholds, so the saved event includes separate markets for each side and margin. The listing also sets out what happens if the game changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days [1]. If the game is cancelled and not played, or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1]. The listing states that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record includes nine markets for this event, and all of them are included in the sample. The provider's listing shows the status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The end dates in the saved market records are contract dates and should not be read as a confirmed game date or a resolution date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the margin of victory in one scheduled game rather than who wins outright. Because each threshold is a separate Yes or No question, a trader or reader can see how the market treats different point margins for the same game [1]. The postponement and cancellation language determines whether a contract can still settle if the game moves, which affects how the market should be read before the game is played [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
When does a Golden State spread market resolve to Yes?
A Golden State spread market resolves to Yes if Golden State wins by more than the stated number of points in the game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the cancelled game is not played, or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
Does a price on this contract show the chance that the outcome will happen?
The source describes the contract's rules and resolution terms but does not state how prices should be interpreted as probabilities [1]. Prices shown in this entry are snapshots from the saved provider record and are not executable quotes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
