Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Total Volume

$2.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Vol

$2.85K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.85K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.85K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	42%
Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	38%
Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	38%
Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	25%
Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	17%
Alexander Volkov to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	16%
Sergei Pavlovich to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	12%
Alex Pereira to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	8%
Curtis Blaydes to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	5%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	2%
Marcin Tybura to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$2.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Heavyweight Dec 31, 2027 If X is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affilia

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Heavyweight Dec 31, 2027

If X is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affilia

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO.

This market and these products have not been en"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Waldo Cortes-Acosta to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $106
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Sergei Pavlovich to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $197
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Marcin Tybura to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $315
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $979
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Curtis Blaydes to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Alexander Volkov to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Alex Pereira to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Volume$2.85K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

KALSHI

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIOther

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by

KALSHI

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIOther

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Jon Jones is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by

KALSHI

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHITech

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Jailton Almeida is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endors

KALSHI

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Josh Hokit is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by

KALSHI

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIOther

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Tom Aspinall is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed

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Average Yes Price

18¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6iKMEg" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?"></iframe>

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Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

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Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Markets (11)

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jon Jones to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Jailton Almeida to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Josh Hokit to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Tom Aspinall to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

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