Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Total Volume

$6.82K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Vol

$6.82K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.82K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.82K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	55%
Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	25%
Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	21%
Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	21%
Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	19%
Shavkat Rakhmonov to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	19%
Sean Brady to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	17%
Leon Edwards to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	7%
Kamaru Usman to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	7%
Jack Della Maddalena to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	7%
Belal Muhammad to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$6.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Welterweight Dec 31, 2027 If X is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Welterweight Dec 31, 2027

If X is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Shavkat Rakhmonov is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO.

This market and these products have not been end"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shavkat Rakhmonov to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sean Brady to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Leon Edwards to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Kamaru Usman to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $176
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Jack Della Maddalena to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Belal Muhammad to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Volume$6.82K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

KALSHI

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIOther

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Islam Makhachev is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endor

KALSHI

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIOther

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Carlos Prates is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorse

KALSHI

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIOther

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Michael Morales is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endor

KALSHI

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIOther

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Ilia Topuria is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed

KALSHI

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIOther

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

If Ian Machado Garry is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been end

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

18¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/G9yHn9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?"></iframe>

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Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

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Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Markets (11)

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Welterweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ilia Topuria to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

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