Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Name: Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner
End: 2027-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.92K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Vol

$9.92K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	43%
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	19%
Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	19%
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	12%
Will Myriam Bregman win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	6%
Will Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	6%
Will Guillermo Moreno win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Facundo Manes win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Juan Schiaretti win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	2%
Will Esteban Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	1%
Will Juan Grabois win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	1%
Will Mauricio Macri win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	1%
Will Karina Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	1%
Will Daniel Hadad win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	1%
Will Victoria Villarruel win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	0%
Will Patricia Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	0%
Will Nicolás del Caño win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	0%
Will Dante Gebel win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$9.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2027 (379 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more can"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $272.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Juan Grabois win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Esteban Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $133
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $821
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Juan Schiaretti win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Facundo Manes win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Myriam Bregman win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $166
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Victoria Villarruel win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Mauricio Macri win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Dante Gebel win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $189
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Patricia Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $184
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Karina Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Nicolás del Caño win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Guillermo Moreno win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Daniel Hadad win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2027): Vol $186
  DATA: [Yes: 19.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics