Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.35M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$3.35M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.35M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.35M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Poly	7%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	6%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Poly	5%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Poly	5%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Poly	5%
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	4%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Poly	4%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$3.35M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by Decembe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (81 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by Decembe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day aft"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.35M
* **Total Liquidity:** $217.9K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 15.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $68.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.40M
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $619.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $341.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $424.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $382.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $24.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $88.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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