Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Next President of Estonia?

Total Volume

$23.16K

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Markets

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Next President of Estonia?

Vol

$23.16K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $23.16K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.16K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98%
Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kersti Kaljulaid be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Indrek Tarand be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%
Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$23.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next President of Estonia?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If X formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Urmas Paet formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a sub"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kersti Kaljulaid be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Indrek Tarand be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $515
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Next President of Estonia?

Volume$23.16K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Ülle Madise formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a su

KALSHI

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Urmas Paet formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a sub

KALSHI

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Riho Ühtegi formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a su

KALSHI

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Matti Maasikas formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a

KALSHI

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Mart Helme formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a sub

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Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

Next President of Estonia?

Markets (11)

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Next President of Estonia?

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Urmas Paet be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Matti Maasikas be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027?

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