Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

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Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

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0.0%avg

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6 markets tracked

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 0 to 2 points?	Kalshi	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

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$0.00

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About This Event

2026-27 Season If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between X and Y points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place team in the final official league table. If the top two teams are level on points, the winning margin is 0, regardless of the tiebreaker used to determine the champion. Kalshi is not

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27 Season

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between X and Y points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place team in the final official league table. If the top two teams are level on points, the winning margin is 0, regardless of the tiebreaker used to determine the champion. Kalshi is not 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by 15 or more points over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 0 to 2 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by 15 or more points over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place

KALSHI

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between 9 and 11 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team fro

KALSHI

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between 6 and 8 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from

KALSHI

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between 3 and 5 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from

KALSHI

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

If the Ligue 1 champion wins the league by between 12 and 14 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team fr

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6ulrP4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin"></iframe>

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Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

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Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

Markets (6)

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

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Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ligue 1: Champion's Points Margin

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 9 to 11 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 6 to 8 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 3 to 5 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

Will the Ligue 1 champion win by 12 to 14 points?

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