Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Total Volume

$85.86

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Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Vol

$85.86

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $85.86

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $85.86

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Bundesliga champion win by 0 to 1 points?	Kalshi	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$85.86

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026-27 Season If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between X and Y points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place team in the final official league table. If the top two teams are level on points, the winning margin is 0, regardless of the tiebreaker used to determine the champion. Kalshi i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27 Season

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between X and Y points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second-place team in the final official league table. If the top two teams are level on points, the winning margin is 0, regardless of the tiebreaker used to determine the champion. Kalshi i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by 15 or more points over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $86
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Bundesliga champion win by 0 to 1 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Volume$85.86

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by 15 or more points over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place team from the second

KALSHI

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between 8 and 10 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place te

KALSHI

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between 5 and 7 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place tea

KALSHI

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between 2 and 4 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place tea

KALSHI

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

If the Bundesliga champion wins the league by between 11 and 14 points, inclusive, over the second-place team in the final official league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winning margin is the number of points separating the first-place t

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KMST09" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin"></iframe>

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Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

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Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Markets (6)

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

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Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 15+ points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 8 to 10 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 2 to 4 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

Will the Bundesliga champion win by 11 to 14 points?

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