GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

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Who will visit the White House in 2026?

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27 markets tracked

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	94%
Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	87%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	77%
Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	72%
Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	71%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	61%
Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	58%
Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	53%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	34%
Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	33%
Will Jaxson Dart visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	22%
Will Abiy Ahmed visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Lionel Messi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Gavin Newsom visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will Bola Ahmed Tinubu visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jerome Powell visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Hun Manet visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Vladimir Putin visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Barack Obama visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Anutin Charnvirakul visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	4%

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About This Event

Before Jan 2027 If X visits the White House after Y Z 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit. This market w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will visit the White House in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 2027

If X visits the White House after Y Z 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit. This market w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Abelardo de la Espriella visits the White House after Jun 29, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, law"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lionel Messi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jaxson Dart visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anutin Charnvirakul visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hun Manet visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bola Ahmed Tinubu visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Abiy Ahmed visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Vladimir Putin visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Pope Leo XIV visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Barack Obama visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Marjorie Taylor Greene visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jerome Powell visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.6% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Gavin Newsom visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Cristiano Ronaldo visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets27

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KALSHI

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Joseph Aoun visits the White House after Apr 16, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdo

KALSHI

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Xi Jinping visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor

KALSHI

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Abelardo de la Espriella visits the White House after Jun 29, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, law

KALSHI

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Mark Carney visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoo

KALSHI

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Elon Musk visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor

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32¢

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Who will visit the White House in 2026?

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Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

Markets (27)

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

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Who will visit the White House in 2026?

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

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