Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

Total Volume

$25.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

Vol

$25.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

57 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(57)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	98%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	98%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	98%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	98%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	98%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,250 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	97%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,275 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	97%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,300 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	97%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,325 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	96%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,350 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	96%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,375 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	96%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,400 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	95%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,425 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	94%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,450 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	94%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,475 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	93%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,500 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	92%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,525 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	91%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,550 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	90%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,575 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	89%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,600 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	87%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,625 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	86%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,650 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	84%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,675 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	82%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,700 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	80%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,725 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	78%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,750 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	75%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,775 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	72%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,800 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	69%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,825 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	66%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,850 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	63%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,875 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	60%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,900 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	56%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,925 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	52%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,950 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	49%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,975 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	45%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,000 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	41%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,025 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	37%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,050 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	32%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,525 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,500 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,475 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,450 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,425 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,400 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,375 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,350 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,325 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,300 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,275 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,250 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,100 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,075 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$25.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least X at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. If the value of the Index.US30/USD at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least X the market resolves to Yes. If

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least X at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. If the value of the Index.US30/USD at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least X the market resolves to Yes. If 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $52,525 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,525 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,500 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,475 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,450 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,425 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,400 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,375 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,350 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,325 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,300 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,275 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,250 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,100 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,075 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,050 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,250 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,275 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,300 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,325 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,350 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,375 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,400 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,425 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,450 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,475 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,500 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,525 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,550 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,575 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,600 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,025 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,000 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,975 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,950 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,925 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,900 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,875 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,850 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,825 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,800 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,775 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,750 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,725 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,700 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,675 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 56. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,650 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 57. Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,625 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

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KALSHIFinancials

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

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KALSHI

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $51,125 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat

KALSHI

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $51,150 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat

KALSHI

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $51,175 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat

KALSHI

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $51,200 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat

KALSHI

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $51,225 at 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's nat

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6wI82v" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT"></iframe>

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(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

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Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

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(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

Markets (57)

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 13, 2026 at 4pm ET?

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