GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

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Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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10 markets tracked

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)	Kalshi	94%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)	Kalshi	93%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)	Kalshi	91%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)	Kalshi	88%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)	Kalshi	84%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.7 trillion)	Kalshi	75%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.8 trillion)	Kalshi	46%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.9 trillion)	Kalshi	33%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $7.0 trillion)	Kalshi	22%
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $7.1 trillion)	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

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$0.00

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About This Event

2026 If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets, Less Eliminations from Consolidation: Wednesday Level, WALCL, for Dec 30, 2026 is above X trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets, Less Eliminations from Consolidation: Wednesday Level, WALCL, for Dec 30, 2026 is above X trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $7.1 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $7.1 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $7.0 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.9 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.8 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.7 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

2026 If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets, Less Eliminations from Consolidation: Wednesday Level, WALCL, for Dec 30, 2026 is above X trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

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KALSHI

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.2 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.3 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.4 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.5 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.0¢No 16.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.6 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.

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64¢

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Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

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Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

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Events (1)

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Markets (10)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.2 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.3 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.4 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.5 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? (Above $6.6 trillion)

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