Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers a single event, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The stated resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the provider notes that the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:35:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract closing time, not a confirmed resolution time. The supplied evidence does not show how or when the market resolved, so this snapshot cannot tell you the result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T22:21:11Z [1]. The prices below describe that earlier observation. They are not live quotes for today.
- Up: 0.5
- Down: 0.5 [1]
These are snapshot prices from one saved market. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The volume and trading activity behind them are not in the evidence, so the prices say nothing about liquidity or how many people traded.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sampling [1]. Because only one contract is included, there are no other outcomes to compare against, and no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it does not indicate any movement over time. It also does not include a platform-independent check of the TWAP, any historical record for similar contracts, or any news. Other platforms may list differently worded contracts with different windows, resolution sources, or closing times, so their prices should not be compared directly with this one unless the rules match. The provider notes that the saved sample does not establish that every real-world outcome is listed [1].
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET" [1]. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. It asks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down over one five-minute window, and it is tied to a specific price feed rather than to general market prices. The rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, a brief spike or dip at the end of the window does not by itself settle the result under these rules. The provider lists the contract as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-27T15:35:00.000Z [1]. That is a scheduled closing time from the contract listing. It is not a record that the window has ended or that the market has resolved. The contract's status and any price information shown alongside this entry reflect the time they were recorded and do not describe conditions at the moment you read this page.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the DOGE/USD price over one five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. It matters for anyone trying to understand how a short-horizon crypto contract is defined, because the wording of the rules determines the outcome. Under these rules, the reference point is the price at the start of the window, and the measured value is the time-weighted average across the window. Readers should therefore look at the resolution rules, not only at the asset's headline price, when interpreting the contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract uses the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin generated by Chainlink over the time range in the title. It resolves Up if that average is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The stated resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market concerns that stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-27T15:35:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed end time and does not show that the contract has already closed or resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.