Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta

Total Volume

$59.59K

Events

Markets

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Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta

Vol

$59.59K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $59.59K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $59.59K

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins	Kalshi	81%
Lucas Zancheta wins	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$59.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta (Oct 12) If X wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellati

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta (Oct 12)

If X wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellati

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Lucas Zancheta wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Lucas Zancheta wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $35.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $24.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta

Volume$59.59K

Markets2

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KALSHI

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHISports

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

If Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis m

KALSHI

Lucas Zancheta wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHISports

Lucas Zancheta wins

If Lucas Zancheta wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maringa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta professional tennis match in the 2

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/705Krv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta"></iframe>

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Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

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Events (1)

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta

Markets (2)

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

Lucas Zancheta wins

Lucas Zancheta wins

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Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

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Ortenblad Nogueira vs Zancheta

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira wins

Lucas Zancheta wins

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