Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Matsuoka vs McCabe

Total Volume

$418.40

Events

Markets

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Matsuoka vs McCabe

Vol

$418.40

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $418.40

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $418.40

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Hayato Matsuoka wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Hayato Matsuoka wins	Kalshi	56%
James McCabe wins	Kalshi	44%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$418.40

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Matsuoka vs McCabe (Oct 12) If X wins the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Matsuoka vs McCabe
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Matsuoka vs McCabe (Oct 12)

If X wins the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If James McCabe wins the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP C"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $418
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. James McCabe wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Hayato Matsuoka wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $318
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Matsuoka vs McCabe

Volume$418.40

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Hayato Matsuoka wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHISports

Hayato Matsuoka wins

If Hayato Matsuoka wins the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 AT

KALSHI

James McCabe wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHISports

James McCabe wins

If James McCabe wins the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Jinan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Matsuoka vs McCabe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP C

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/72jjNi" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Matsuoka vs McCabe"></iframe>

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Hayato Matsuoka wins

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Events (1)

Matsuoka vs McCabe

Markets (2)

Hayato Matsuoka wins

Hayato Matsuoka wins

James McCabe wins

James McCabe wins

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Hayato Matsuoka wins

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Matsuoka vs McCabe

Hayato Matsuoka wins

Hayato Matsuoka wins

James McCabe wins

James McCabe wins

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