Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

Total Volume

$7.11K

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Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.11K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.11K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	43%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$7.11K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of l

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of l

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure fr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/73Lnk7" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?"></iframe>

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Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

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Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)