ChatGPT Outage by March 15? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Name: ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.09K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.09K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.09K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?	Poly	64%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$4.09K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearin

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 15, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearin

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be consi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 15, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

12d 18h remaining

Mar 15, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

64¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/749JzY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="ChatGPT Outage by March 15?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)