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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.44K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$9.44K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	77%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	77%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	68%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	47%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	43%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	42%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Poly	40%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	27%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	13%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	13%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	12%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	12%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$9.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $83.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Top Esports: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [Weibo Gaming: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$9.44K

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 3. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Weibo Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one ene

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market

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37¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7Bmha_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (23)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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