ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single short-window market on the ZCash price. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The title names the window as "October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET," and the listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:50:00.000Z [1].
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same data stream, window, and comparison rule. Differences in wording can change what the two contracts settle on, even when their titles look similar.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and this application retrieved the source at 2026-10-19T09:39:12.677Z [1]. These are different times, and neither is the contract's close or its resolution. The listed status was "active" at observation [1].
In the saved snapshot, the "Up" outcome is priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome is also priced at 0.5 [1]. These are saved prices, not executable quotes, and they do not establish a verified probability. The snapshot does not include volume or any measure of liquidity, so it says nothing about how much trading occurred or how many participants were involved.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary contract with both outcomes shown, no omitted outcome affects the reading. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the two prices are equal, and it does not describe any news or events affecting ZCash. It also does not show the price at the start of the window or the TWAP during it, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. Because the observation predates the retrieval by about 39 minutes and the contract closes later, readers should not treat this snapshot as a live quote. Any current prices would need a new observation.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term price contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET." The contract asks whether the price of ZCash will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price data used for resolution comes from Chainlink. The rules name the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that the market concerns only that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that a price shown on a different exchange or data feed does not decide the outcome under these rules. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:50:00.000Z, which is the point the rules set for the window to close [1]. The rules describe the window's timing, but the listed date is a contract rule and should not be read as a separately announced event. The source record was observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:39:12.710Z, so those times describe when the record was captured, not when the window closes or when any result is known. The evidence does not include a final resolution, so no outcome is reported here. At the observation time, the saved market showed an "Up" price of 0.5 and a "Down" price of 0.5, with the status listed as active [1]. These figures are snapshots from that moment and are not current quotes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over a five-minute window, using a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price. Because the rules compare the average over the window with the price at the window's start, the result depends on how the price moved across the whole interval as recorded by the named Chainlink stream [1]. Readers who want to understand the contract should focus on the exact stream named in the rules, since the contract states that other sources and spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" result mean for this contract?
Under the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does a "Down" result mean?
If the TWAP over the stated range is not greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range, the market resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about that stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's window end?
The listed end time in the contract record is 2026-10-20T08:50:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.