ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET" [1]. Its rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:45:00.000Z [1]. Because the title refers to Eastern Time, readers should check that conversion against the stated UTC end time rather than relying on the title alone. The rules describe the resolution method, but the supplied evidence does not show an actual resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:45:30.679Z [1]. These are two different times, and both describe the saved record rather than live conditions. The provider reported the status as "active" in the saved excerpt [1].
The saved prices were Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal at that observation time.
The sample covers one market from one event. Coverage shows one total market, one included, with no partial sample [1]. Because the event is binary and both outcomes are listed, no outcome is omitted from this record. Equal prices on this single contract do not create an arbitrage comparison with any other contract.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so no conclusions about depth or agreement can be drawn. It also does not show the ZEC/USD TWAP values for the window, the starting price, or the eventual resolution. Readers should check the Chainlink data stream and the platform's current listing directly before relying on any price, since this record was saved at an earlier time.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against US dollars, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price moves up or down over a five-minute range. According to its rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The provider lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-20T08:45:00.000Z [1]. The resolution data comes from Chainlink, not from general market prices. The rules specify the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream for a 60-second TWAP as the resolution source [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore check the Chainlink stream named in the rules, rather than a price shown on an exchange or aggregator, when thinking about how this contract would be settled. The contract is one of a series of short-window Up or Down contracts. Its title only identifies one time window, so this article describes only that window and does not make claims about other periods.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over one defined window, as reported by a specific data stream. Under the rules, the question is whether the TWAP for the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window, which means a flat result counts as "Up" [1]. Because the rules tie settlement to the Chainlink TWAP stream, the contract's outcome depends on that stream's data and not on the wider market view of ZCash [1]. The contract's current status is recorded as active in the provider data, but that status describes the saved provider record and not the outcome of the window [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP as the resolution source [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect this contract?
The rules state that the contract is about the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-20T08:45:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.