Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Total Volume

$2.35K

Events

Markets

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Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Vol

$2.35K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.35K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.35K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	12%
Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$2.35K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

PUM vs CRA (Oct 11) If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 1s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** PUM vs CRA (Oct 11)

If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 1s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pumas UNAM win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer gam"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $873
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Volume$2.35K

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Cruz Azul win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game

KALSHI

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Pumas UNAM win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer gam

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Average Yes Price

9¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7O0RGP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread"></iframe>

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Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

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Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Events (1)

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Markets (2)

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: First Half Spread

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Pumas UNAM wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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