Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Mauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNT

Total Volume

$295.39

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Mauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNT

Vol

$295.39

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $295.39

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $295.39

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?	Kalshi	42%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$295.39

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Mauricio Pochettino If Mauricio Pochettino leaves his role as the Manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves solely based on the effective date of Mauricio Pochettino's departure from Manager of the US Men's National Team. The date on which the departure is announced or a resignation is submitted does not affect resolution. If the effective date falls before the start of the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNT
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Mauricio Pochettino

If Mauricio Pochettino leaves his role as the Manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves solely based on the effective date of Mauricio Pochettino's departure from Manager of the US Men's National Team. The date on which the departure is announced or a resignation is submitted does not affect resolution. If the effective date falls before the start of the 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Mauricio Pochettino leaves his role as the Manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves solely based on the effective date of Mauricio Pochettino's departure fro"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $295
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 15, 2030): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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