Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs | PredictPedia

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Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs

Name: Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs
End: 2026-01-19T19:00:00.000Z

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Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs

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Market	Platform	Price
Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs	Poly	38%

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About This Event

This event is for the CBB game between Columbia Lions and Yale Bulldogs on January 19 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 19, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the CBB game between Columbia Lions and Yale Bulldogs on January 19 at 2:00 PM ET.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 19 at 2:00 PM ET:

If the Columbia Lions win, the market will resolve to "Columbia Lions".

If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Yale Bulldogs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $705
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Columbia Lions vs. Yale Bulldogs
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Columbia Lions: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Yale Bulldogs: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Overview

The Columbia Lions versus Yale Bulldogs men's basketball game scheduled for January 19 at 2:00 PM ET is a significant Ivy League conference matchup with implications for the conference standings and potential postseason positioning. This contest features two of the Ivy League's most improved programs in recent seasons, both seeking to establish themselves as contenders behind the conference's traditional powerhouses. The game will be played at the John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven, Connecticut, Yale's home court, where the Bulldogs have historically been strong. The outcome is of particular interest to fans, alumni, and sports bettors, as it represents a key early conference test that could shape the trajectory of both teams' seasons. Prediction markets are active for this event, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations to ensure market integrity. Interest extends beyond the immediate fanbases due to the Ivy League's unique academic-athletic model and the growing competitiveness of its basketball programs on a national scale.

Historical Context

The basketball rivalry between Columbia and Yale dates back to the early 20th century, with the first recorded meeting occurring in the 1901-1902 season. For decades, both programs existed in the shadow of Ivy League titans like Princeton and Penn. Yale's modern resurgence began under coach James Jones in the 2010s, culminating in the program's first NCAA Tournament win in 2016. Columbia's last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 1968, a fact that underscores the program's long quest to return to prominence. The head-to-head series has been competitive in recent years. In the 2022-23 season, the teams split their two meetings, with each winning on their home court. Yale holds a historical advantage in the overall series, but Columbia's victory at Levien Gymnasium last season signaled the program's growing competitiveness under coach Jim Engles. The Ivy League's adoption of a postseason tournament in 2017 has added significance to every conference game, as the top four teams qualify for a chance at the automatic NCAA bid.

Why It Matters

This game matters significantly within the ecosystem of Ivy League athletics, where basketball serves as a high-profile ambassador for the conference's blend of academic rigor and athletic excellence. Outcomes influence recruiting battles for high-achieving student-athletes, institutional pride, and alumni engagement. For the players, strong performances in conference play can lead to individual accolades and, for seniors, opportunities in professional leagues overseas. For the universities, success in high-profile sports like basketball can enhance national visibility and contribute to a broader sense of community. Beyond campus, the game's result directly impacts the Ivy League standings, affecting seeding for the conference tournament in March. This has tangible financial implications, as advancing in or winning the conference tournament leads to NCAA Tournament participation, which brings substantial revenue distribution to the conference and its member schools. The game is also a focal point for prediction markets, where its resolution rules regarding postponements and cancellations provide a case study in designing robust contracts for sporting events subject to scheduling uncertainties.

Current Status

As of mid-January, both teams are engaged in the early portion of their Ivy League conference schedules. Yale entered the season as a preseason favorite to contend for the Ivy League title, returning several key contributors from last year's team. Columbia aims to build on its most successful season in years and compete for a top-four finish to secure a spot in the Ivy League Tournament. The specific health and availability of key players like Matt Knowling and Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa will be closely monitored in the days leading up to the January 19 tip-off. Prediction markets for the game are active, with odds reflecting Yale's home-court advantage and preseason expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is the Columbia vs Yale basketball game being played?

The game is scheduled to be played at the John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven, Connecticut. This is the home court of the Yale Bulldogs.

What happens if the Columbia vs Yale game is postponed?

According to the prediction market rules for this specific event, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open and unresolved until the game has been completed at a later date. The market will then resolve based on that result.

How can I watch the Columbia Lions vs Yale Bulldogs game?

Ivy League basketball games are typically broadcast on ESPN+ or the ESPN family of networks, and occasionally on regional sports networks. The specific broadcast details for this January 19 game will be announced by the Ivy League and the schools closer to the date.

Who is favored to win between Columbia and Yale?

Based on preseason projections and home-court advantage, the Yale Bulldogs will likely be favored by sportsbooks. However, the line will be set and can change based on team performance in the weeks leading up to the game and player availability.

What is the Ivy League's policy on canceled games?

The Ivy League has specific protocols for cancellations, often attempting to reschedule if possible. For prediction markets, this particular contract states that if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up date, the market will resolve as a 50-50 split, or a 'push'.

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Updated Jan 14, 2026

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Next Market Closes

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Jan 19, 2026 7:00 PM

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Educational Context

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Historical Context

Why It Matters

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Frequently Asked Questions

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