Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Total Volume

$2.90K

Events

Markets

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Vol

$2.90K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.90K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.90K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?	Kalshi	44%
Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 3-1?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 2-1?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Draw 1-1?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 3-0?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 2-0?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?	Kalshi	24%
Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 1-0?	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$2.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 3, Athletic Bilbao X in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 3, Athletic Bilbao X in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 3, Athletic Bilbao 1 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 3-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 2-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the 1st half score be Draw 1-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $334
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 1-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $608
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 3-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 2-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the 1st half score be Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Volume$2.90K

Markets13

13 of 13

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KALSHI

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHISports

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 0, Athletic Bilbao 0 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 3, Athletic Bilbao 1 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 3, Athletic Bilbao 0 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 2, Athletic Bilbao 2 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Rayo Vallecano 2, Athletic Bilbao 1 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

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25¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7R5CVi" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score"></iframe>

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

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Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Markets (13)

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 1st Half Correct Score

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 0-0?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

Will the 1st half score be Draw 2-2?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

Will the 1st half score be Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?

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