Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Name: Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$38.59K

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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

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Polymarket

markets · $38.59K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $38.59K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$38.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (166 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $38.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.41)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $38.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

165d 13h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

8¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7SFfxJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?"></iframe>

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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)