Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Total Volume

$2.18K

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Markets

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Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Vol

$2.18K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.18K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.18K

100%

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5 markets tracked

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?	Kalshi	52%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?	Kalshi	33%
Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?	Kalshi	14%
Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?	Kalshi	3%
Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$2.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2045 If X is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. X Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: X complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2045

If X is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. X Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: X complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:

A complete proof, disproof, or counterex"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2045): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2045): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2045): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2045): Vol $425
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Volume$2.18K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

If Hodge Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the prob

KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample

KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterex

KALSHI

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

If Riemann Hypothesis is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the pr

KALSHI

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

If P versus NP Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the p

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Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Markets (5)

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

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Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?

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