$904.55K
2
51
$904.55K
2
51
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
before 2027 If X leaves as Y before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X Y must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e., if the person dies while holding the role, all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
38 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 70% | 6% |
 | 63% | 64% | 1% |
| 56% | 55% | 2% |
| 44% | 53% | 9% |
| 41% | 45% | 4% |
| 33% | 50% | 16% |
| 41% | 40% | 1% |
| 27% | 25% | 3% |
| 26% | 22% | 4% |
| 26% | 19% | 8% |
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before 2027 If X leaves as Y before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X Y must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e., if the person dies while holding the role, all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration include
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's r
If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all co
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's r
If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Tulsi Gabbard must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while hold
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