Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

Name: Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
End: 2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

Vol

$1.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	77%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$1.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - how"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $438
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $118
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $98
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $98
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics