Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Name: Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
End: 2026-10-27T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.85K

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Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Vol

$3.85K

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $3.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	52%
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	27%
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	17%
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	6%
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$3.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint can

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 27, 2026 (17 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint can

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $34.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $693
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $445
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $385
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $431
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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