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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 38% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Kansas City Roos and South Dakota State Jackrabbits on January 17 at 5:15 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. The market for a Kansas City Roos win is trading at just 38% on Polymarket. This probability suggests the market views an upset by the Roos as a distinct possibility, but significantly less likely than the favored Jackrabbits securing the win. With the implied odds for South Dakota State at 62%, the consensus positions them as clear favorites heading into this Summit League matchup.
Two primary factors are driving this pricing. First, the historical and current season dominance of South Dakota State is paramount. The Jackrabbits are consistently the class of the Summit League and entered this season as the preseason favorite to win the conference. Their offensive efficiency and experience create a substantial talent gap. Second, Kansas City's performance profile supports the underdog status. The Roos have struggled against top-tier conference opponents, particularly on the road, and lack the consistent scoring firepower to keep pace with high-powered offenses like South Dakota State's.
The most likely catalyst for a shift in these odds would be a significant injury or absence report for South Dakota State prior to tip-off. A key player being ruled out could narrow the perceived talent gap. Conversely, if early game action shows Kansas City's defense effectively stifling the Jackrabbits' offensive rhythm, live betting sentiment could push the Roos' contract price upward. However, the market's current stance reflects a stable assessment that major deviation from the expected outcome is a low-probability event.
This market is trading exclusively on Polymarket, so no direct cross-platform arbitrage opportunity exists. The singular pricing indicates a consolidated view among bettors on this platform. The absence of a competing market on Kalshi for this specific game may be due to the niche nature of Summit League college basketball, which often sees less coverage on larger platforms focused on major conferences or professional sports.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a college basketball game scheduled for January 17 at 5:15 PM ET between the Kansas City Roos and the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. The game is part of the Summit League conference schedule in NCAA Division I men's basketball, known as CBB. The market allows participants to predict the winner of this specific contest, with settlement rules accounting for potential postponements or cancellations. This matchup is significant within the conference as both teams compete for positioning in the Summit League standings ahead of the conference tournament in March, which determines the automatic qualifier for the NCAA Tournament, commonly known as March Madness. The Kansas City Roos, representing the University of Missouri-Kansas City, and the South Dakota State Jackrabbits, representing South Dakota State University, have developed a competitive rivalry within the conference. Interest in this market stems from sports bettors, college basketball fans, and alumni of both institutions who follow their teams' performances closely. The specific timing and conference implications add layers of strategic interest, as mid-January games often set the tone for the second half of the conference season. The market's resolution rules provide clarity for participants in the event of scheduling changes, a common occurrence in college sports due to weather or other disruptions.
The basketball series between Kansas City and South Dakota State dates back to Kansas City's entry into the Summit League for the 2020-2021 season. Prior to that, Kansas City was a member of the Western Athletic Conference (WAC). South Dakota State has historically dominated the Summit League, winning the regular season or tournament championship in seven of the last twelve seasons. The Jackrabbits have established themselves as the conference's premier program, making NCAA Tournament appearances in 2012, 2013, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022, and 2023. Kansas City, meanwhile, is in a rebuilding phase under Coach Menzies, seeking its first Summit League championship and NCAA Tournament berth since rejoining the conference. The head-to-head record in recent years favors South Dakota State significantly. For example, during the 2022-2023 season, South Dakota State defeated Kansas City in both of their regular season matchups. This historical dominance creates a narrative of a traditional power versus an aspiring contender, a common dynamic in mid-major conference play. The location of the game also plays a historical role, as South Dakota State's Frost Arena in Brookings is known for its challenging environment for visiting teams.
Beyond the immediate game result, this matchup has implications for the Summit League standings and the postseason picture. Conference wins are crucial for seeding in the Summit League Tournament, which is a single-elimination event where the champion receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. For South Dakota State, a loss could jeopardize its position as the conference favorite, while for Kansas City, a win would signal meaningful progress in its rebuild and enhance its tournament seeding prospects. Economically, success in college basketball can impact university applications, alumni donations, and local business revenue in the host city. For the players, strong performances in conference play can lead to individual accolades and professional opportunities after college. The game also matters to the broader ecosystem of college sports betting and prediction markets, where data from such contests informs odds and trading activity. A surprising result can cause significant market volatility and influence perceptions of both teams for the remainder of the season.
As of mid-January 2024, both teams are engaged in the heart of their Summit League schedules. South Dakota State entered this game period with a strong overall record, positioning itself near the top of the conference standings. Kansas City has shown improvement from previous seasons but remains in the middle tier of the league. The specific days leading up to the January 17 contest involve standard game preparation, including practice sessions, film study, and managing player health. Weather conditions in Brookings, South Dakota, in January are always a monitoring point for potential travel or game delays, though Frost Arena is an indoor facility. Both teams are coming off their most recent conference games, and their performance in those outings will influence momentum and tactical adjustments heading into this matchup.
The game is scheduled to be played at Frost Arena in Brookings, South Dakota, the home court of the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. The arena has a capacity of approximately 6,500 spectators.
The television or streaming broadcast information is typically announced by the Summit League or the schools closer to the game date. It is often carried on regional sports networks or streaming platforms like ESPN+ or the Summit League Network.
Based on recent history and current season performance, South Dakota State is generally considered the favorite, especially when playing at home. However, official point spreads are set by sportsbooks closer to game time.
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game has been completed. The outcome will be settled based on the result of the rescheduled contest.
Yes, since Kansas City joined the Summit League, they have secured at least one victory against South Dakota State. However, the overall series record since 2020 is heavily in favor of the Jackrabbits.
This conference game impacts the standings for the Summit League Tournament. Seeding in that tournament is critical, as it determines the path to the championship and an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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