Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US shelter CPI in September

Total Volume

$2.55K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US shelter CPI in September

Vol

$2.55K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.55K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.55K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

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Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?	Kalshi	95%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?	Kalshi	95%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?	Kalshi	95%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?	Kalshi	95%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?	Kalshi	94%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.2?	Kalshi	94%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.3?	Kalshi	93%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.4?	Kalshi	92%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.5?	Kalshi	91%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.6?	Kalshi	90%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.7?	Kalshi	87%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.8?	Kalshi	82%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.9?	Kalshi	75%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.0?	Kalshi	66%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.1?	Kalshi	57%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.2?	Kalshi	50%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.3?	Kalshi	41%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.4?	Kalshi	33%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.5?	Kalshi	25%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.6?	Kalshi	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$2.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US shelter CPI in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 431.6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 431.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.9?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.7?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US shelter CPI in September

Volume$2.55K

Markets20

20 of 20

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KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 429.7, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average,

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 430.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average,

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 429.9, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average,

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 429.8, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average,

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 430.1, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average,

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73¢

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US shelter CPI in September

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Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

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Events (1)

US shelter CPI in September

Markets (20)

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

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Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US shelter CPI in September

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.7?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.9?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 429.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 430.1?

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