Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

Name: Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

Vol

$1.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?	Poly	95%
Will Anthropic list on the NYSE?	Poly	7%
Will Anthropic list on another exchange?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$1.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the exchange on which Anthropic's shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO). For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas. The

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the exchange on which Anthropic's shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).

For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.

The 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the exchange on which Anthropic's shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).

For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $372
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.75)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 94.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic list on the NYSE?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $139
  DATA: [Yes: 6.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic list on another exchange?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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