Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Total Volume

$96.19

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Vol

$96.19

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $96.19

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $96.19

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins	Kalshi	56%
Alexander Chang wins	Kalshi	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$96.19

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang (Oct 12) If X wins the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any oth

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alvarez Valdes vs Chang
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Alvarez Valdes vs Chang (Oct 12)

If X wins the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any oth

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Alexander Chang wins the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $96
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Alexander Chang wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Volume$96.19

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHISports

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

If Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis

KALSHI

Alexander Chang wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHISports

Alexander Chang wins

If Alexander Chang wins the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Alvarez Valdes vs Chang professional tennis match in t

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7hgaaT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Alvarez Valdes vs Chang"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Markets (2)

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

Alexander Chang wins

Alexander Chang wins

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Alvarez Valdes vs Chang

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins

Alexander Chang wins

Alexander Chang wins

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget