Name: Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto
End: 2026-02-02T20:45:00.000Z

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Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?	Poly	78%
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Poly	16%
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?	Poly	6%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Monday, February 2, 2026 between Casa Pia AC and FC Porto.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 2, 2026
If Casa Pia AC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $36.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $317.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 2, 2026): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 2, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 2, 2026): Vol $22.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7iKxLO" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto"></iframe>

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Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto

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Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto

Markets (3)

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?

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Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

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Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?

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