Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow
K 35.9K contracts
1
27
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow
K 35.9K contracts
1
27
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.4300 at 98.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.430098.5%
- Above 4.435098.5%
- Above 4.440098.5%
- Above 4.450098.5%
- Above 4.455097.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 35.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
27
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 27, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Wisconsin are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event is titled "Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow" and is categorized under Economics. The provider's excerpt states: "If average regular gas prices for Wisconsin are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each market in this sample uses a different threshold X, so each one asks a different question. The reference is AAA's average regular gas price for Wisconsin on October 27, 2026, as written in the contract. That date comes from the contract wording and does not indicate any announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z, and this report was retrieved at 2026-10-26T14:29:43.631Z [1]. The prices describe that observation window only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of the 17 markets listed for this provider event. Markets were selected by Yes price, highest first, so the five omitted markets cannot be characterized from this sample. Within the included markets, the $4.5000 threshold shows Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5. The other eleven included markets, with thresholds from $4.5100 to $4.5600, show Yes at 0 and No at 1. Do not treat this as the full field or infer prices for omitted thresholds.
The wording "strictly greater than" means an average exactly equal to a threshold would not satisfy that market's Yes condition. Close times also need care. The market records list an end date of 2026-11-03T14:00:00.000Z, but the provider excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] The contract's reference date is October 27, 2026, so the listed end date should not be read as the resolution date.
Volume is not included in the supplied evidence, so no liquidity or participation conclusions can be drawn.
What remains uncertain
Prices were observed before retrieval and may have changed since. The evidence does not include current Wisconsin gas prices, the AAA figure for October 27, trading volume, or the number of participants. The five omitted markets are unknown. Differences between thresholds should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking executable prices, depth, and the exact rules of each contract.
References
- Kalshi: Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow is a Kalshi event that asks whether the average price of regular gasoline in Wisconsin, as reported by AAA, will be strictly greater than a set threshold on October 27, 2026 [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold, so the contracts split one question into several price levels. The contract rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the AAA average is strictly greater than the threshold on that date, and to No otherwise [1]. The underlying subject is retail fuel. A filling station is a facility that sells fuel and engine lubricants for motor vehicles. It receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and sells it to motorists at a price that can vary from day to day [2]. The contract does not measure refinery output or wholesale prices directly. It depends on the average regular price that AAA reports for Wisconsin on the specified date [1]. The saved provider record shows the event as active, with each market listing an end date of November 3, 2026. The provider excerpt itself says no listed end time was supplied, so the November 3 date should be read as the recorded market end date rather than the date the price is measured. The measurement date named in the contract rules is October 27, 2026 [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the reported Wisconsin average regular gas price on October 27, 2026 is strictly above a chosen threshold [1]. Because the rule uses a strict comparison, a reported average exactly equal to the threshold would not satisfy the Yes condition under the wording of the rules [1]. The event gives several thresholds, so the saved snapshot shows how prices were distributed across the levels included in the sample. At the snapshot time, the $4.5000 threshold showed Yes at 0.50 and No at 0.50, while the sampled higher thresholds showed Yes at 0 and No at 1 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the sample includes 12 of the 17 markets in this event, so the omitted thresholds are not described here.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether a Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow market resolves to Yes?
The contract resolves to Yes if average regular gas prices for Wisconsin are strictly greater than the threshold on October 27, 2026, according to AAA [1]. Otherwise the rules point to a No outcome [1].
What does the threshold in each market represent?
Each market is tied to a specific dollar amount, and the question asks whether the AAA average for Wisconsin will exceed that amount on the measurement date [1].
What is a filling station and how does it relate to this contract?
A filling station sells fuel to motorists, receives fuel from refineries, stores it, and distributes it at a daily varied price [2]. That retail pricing is the general activity the contract tracks through the AAA average [1][2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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