GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

TBPN: Guests this year

Total Volume

$0.00

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TBPN: Guests this year

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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7 markets tracked

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	63%
Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	58%
Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	53%
Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	46%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	44%
Will Jamie Dimon be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	16%
Will Dario Amodei be on TBPN before 2027?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2027 If X is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If X appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN, e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt Y is not satisfied. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** TBPN: Guests this year
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If X is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If X appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN, e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt Y is not satisfied. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jamie Dimon be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Dario Amodei be on TBPN before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

TBPN: Guests this year

Volume$0.00

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a

KALSHI

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

If Marc Andreessen is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marc Andreessen appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a por

KALSHI

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

If Mark Cuban is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Mark Cuban appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a

KALSHI

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion

KALSHI

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a por

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7kgOSx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="TBPN: Guests this year"></iframe>

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TBPN: Guests this year

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Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

TBPN: Guests this year

Markets (7)

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

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Discussion

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

TBPN: Guests this year

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Sam Altman be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Marc Andreessen be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Cuban be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Satya Nadella be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

Will Mark Zuckerberg be on TBPN before 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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