Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsCulture

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

Reported volume

PM $35.5K · K 23.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

Vol

PM $35.5K · K 23.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Martin Shkreli is priced at 44.5% on Polymarket and 3% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Martin ShkreliSame question, fine print differs	44.5%	3%	41.5 pts
GCRSame question, fine print differs	40.2%	0.5%	39.7 pts
Jesse PollakSame question, fine print differs	35%	4.5%	30.5 pts
AnsemSame question, fine print differs	31.6%	6%	25.6 pts
SBFSame question, fine print differs	25.2%	2.5%	22.7 pts
Arthur HayesSame question, fine print differs	12.6%	3%	9.6 pts
Brian ArmstrongSame question, fine print differs	7.6%	10%	2.4 pts
Jeff YanSame question, fine print differs	7.1%	6%	1.1 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

24 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

No data available

Include related or unreviewed contracts

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Same question, fine print differs: 8 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $35.5K · K 23.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $35.5K · K 23.1K contracts
Coverage: 32 of 32 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Ansem be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-ANSE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ansem is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038928; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ansem-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.4K
Outcome Yes: 31.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Arthur Hayes be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-ARTH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 936.04 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Arthur Hayes is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038927; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-arthur-hayes-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-949
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.2K
Outcome Yes: 12.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Brian Armstrong be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-BRIA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brian Armstrong is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038934; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-brian-armstrong-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-915
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 7.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will GCR be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-GCR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If GCR is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038938; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gcr-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $365.26
Outcome Yes: 40.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Jeff Yan be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-JEFF; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 7.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jeff Yan is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038926; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jeff-yan-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-536
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 7.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Jesse Pollak be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-JESS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jesse Pollak is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038922; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesse-pollak-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-891
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $632.41
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Martin Shkreli be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-MART; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 404 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Martin Shkreli is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038929; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-martin-shkreli-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-321
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $160.67
Outcome Yes: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Sam Bankman-Fried be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-SBF; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sam Bankman-Fried is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038920; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-155
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 25.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Barron Trump be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-BARR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 866.1 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Barron Trump is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will James Wynn be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-JAME; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 374 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If James Wynn is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will DegenPing be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-DEGE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuponly-01
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If DegenPing is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038919; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gainzy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-421
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $141.03
Outcome Yes: 10.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038921; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-threadguy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-992
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.5K
Outcome Yes: 44.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038923; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-saylor-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-572
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $181.98
Outcome Yes: 50.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038924; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cz-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-166
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $467.34
Outcome Yes: 25.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038925; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vitalik-buterin-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-691
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $454.23
Outcome Yes: 5.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038930; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-su-zhu-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $174.57
Outcome Yes: 33.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038931; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guy-young-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.8K
Outcome Yes: 41.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038932; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anatoly-yakovenko-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-426
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $124.21
Outcome Yes: 50.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038933; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-thomas-lee-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-919
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $208.88
Outcome Yes: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038935; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-javier-milei-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-135
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $187.51
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will Andrew Kang appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038936; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-andrew-kang-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-951
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 32.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will thiccy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038937; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-thiccy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-591
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $174.43
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Contract: Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1038939; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-light-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-615
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $47.39
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).

Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-1038929 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-MART: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Martin Shkreli be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038938 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-GCR: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will GCR be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038922 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-JESS: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Jesse Pollak be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038928 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-ANSE: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Ansem be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038920 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-SBF: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Sam Bankman-Fried be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038927 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-ARTH: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Arthur Hayes be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038934 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-BRIA: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Brian Armstrong be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1038926 / kalshi-KXUPONLY-01-JEFF: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Jeff Yan be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 20, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 8 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UpOnly podcast: Guests this year". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

UpOnly podcast: Guests this year

Before 2027 If X is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$23.15K

Markets11

POLYMARKETCulture